Risk Management Analysis in Delays of Sigli – Banda Aceh Toll Road Construction: A Focus on Section-1 Padang Tiji - Seulimum

Authors

  • Yasir Alhammadi Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Prince Sattam Bin Abdulaziz University, Alkharj 11942, Saudi Arabia Corresponding Author
  • Mazen M. Omer Department of Civil Engineering, Higher Institute of Science and Technology, Tiji, Libya Author/Co-author
  • Muhammad Azmi Department of Civil Engineering, Universitas Muhammadiyah Aceh, Banda Aceh 23245, Indonesia Author/Co-author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.37598/6r2xk757

Keywords:

Risk management, construction delays, toll road project, probability impact matrix, fault tree analysis

Abstract

The construction of the Sigli–Banda Aceh Toll Road, particularly Section-1 (Padang Tiji–Seulimum), as part of Indonesia’s National Strategic Projects, is crucial for improving regional connectivity and economic development. However, delays in its implementation pose significant challenges. This research was conducted to analyze the key risk factors contributing to project delays, formulate the core problems, and propose mitigation strategies that can benefit stakeholders involved in similar large-scale infrastructure developments. The study aims to identify the types of risks affecting the project timeline and assess their impact and likelihood. A combination of qualitative and quantitative methods was used. Data were collected through field observations, document reviews, and interviews with project stakeholders, including contractors, consultants, and government representatives. The analysis involved the use of the Probability Impact Matrix to evaluate risk severity and Fault Tree Analysis to trace root causes of delays. Results show that the most significant risk factors include delays in land acquisition, shortage of construction materials, and adverse weather conditions. Contractual ambiguities and design-related changes also contribute to schedule disruptions. The research highlights the importance of early risk identification, continuous monitoring, and adaptive risk management strategies. These findings offer practical recommendations to enhance project planning and execution in future infrastructure initiatives.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Doloi, H. "Critical success factors for pre-construction risk assessments in Indian infrastructure projects." Construction Management and Economics 38, no. 5 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1080/01446193.2019.1707097.

Hillson, D. Practical Project Risk Management: The ATOM Methodology (3rd ed.). Routledge, (2020).

Wibowo, A. "Land acquisition challenges in Indonesia's Trans-Sumatera Toll Road project." Journal of Infrastructure Development 14, no. 1, (2022). https://doi.org/10.1177/09749306221079118.

Rahman, M. M., Islam, M. S., Hossain, M. S., and Ahmed, S. "Environmental risk assessment for infrastructure projects in tropical regions." Environmental Impact Assessment Review 91 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eiar.2021.106648.

Flyvbjerg, B., Bruzelius, N., & Rothengatter, W. Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press (2021).

Chan, D. W. M., & Kumaraswamy, M. M. "A study of cost overruns in construction projects: The causes and the effects." International Journal of Project Management 40, no. 6, pp. 789-800 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijproman.2022.04.009.

Project Management Institute. A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Seventh Edition. Project Management Institute (2021).

Arafat, M., Islam, R., & Hossain, M. "Probability Impact Matrix for prioritizing risks in public infrastructure projects." Journal of Project Risk Management 12, no. 3 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1080/1747016110895455.

Kartika, I., Wijaya, D., & Purnomo, H. "Fault Tree Analysis for identifying root causes of delays in infrastructure projects." Engineering, Construction, and Architectural Management 29, no. 2 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1108/ECAM-03-2021-0190.

Rosemet LLC. (n.d.). "Probability and Impact Matrix in Project Risk Management." Rosemet. Retrieved from https://www.rosemet.com/probability-and-impact-matrix/

NASA. Fault Tree Analysis for Space Systems Engineering. NASA Technical Reports. Retrieved from https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/20150022337/downloads/20150022337.pdf

Nguyen, T., and Le-Hoai, L. "Collaborative risk-sharing mechanisms in public-private partnership projects: A case study of toll road development in Vietnam." Journal of Infrastructure Systems 27, no. 2 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000631.

Hassan, M., Ahmed, S., & Khan, M. A. "Integrating IoT and big data for dynamic risk management in toll road projects." Automation in Construction 125 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2023.103662.

Zhang, J., Li, Y., & Wang, H. "Real-time data integration for risk management in Southeast Asia's infrastructure projects." Asian Infrastructure Studies 17, no. 2 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440221071934.

Mohd, A. R., & Ismail, F. "Key factors contributing to construction delays in Malaysian infrastructure projects." International Journal of Construction Management 22, no. 4, pp. 261-275 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1080/15623599.2022.2104930.

Chan, D. W. M., and Kumaraswamy, M. M. "Mitigating construction delays: A framework for early stakeholder engagement and transparent financing." Construction Management and Economics 39, no. 6, pp. 528-541 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1080/01446193.2021.1930476.

Abdul-Rahman, H., Al-Hashimi, M., & Al-Zahrani, S. "Analyzing delays in urban infrastructure projects in the Gulf region: Causes and mitigation strategies." Journal of Infrastructure Development 13, no. 3, pp. 178-192 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1177/09749306211023456.

Love, P. E. D., Edwards, D. J., & Irani, Z. "The role of risk management in reducing cost overruns and delays: Evidence from Australian infrastructure projects." International Journal of Project Management 39, no. 5, pp. 457-472 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijproman.2021.03.004.

Chen, W., Zhang, Y., & Liu, H. "Artificial intelligence for predicting and mitigating risks in large-scale construction projects." Journal of Construction Engineering and Management 148, no. 4, (2022). https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0002224.

Rani, H. A., Al-Mohammad, M. S., Rajabi, M. S., & Rahman, R. A. “Critical Government Strategies for Enhancing Building Information Modeling Implementation in Indonesia.” Infrastructure 8, no. 3 (2023). https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures8030057.

Ismail, N. A., Tan, C. S., and Lee, W. H. "The role of Building Information Modeling (BIM) in mitigating risks in large-scale infrastructure projects: Insights from Southeast Asia." Journal of Construction Innovation 20, 4, pp. 621-637 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1108/CI-03-2020-0201

Wang, Y. "Building Information Modeling (BIM) for enhanced risk management in infrastructure projects." Journal of Civil Engineering and Management 27, no. 1 (2021). https://doi.org/10.3846/jcem.2021.14513.

Luo, X., Zhang, Y., and Chen, H. "Real-time data integration and big data analytics for dynamic risk management in infrastructure projects." Automation in Construction 145 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.autcon.2023.104792.

Rani, H. A., Syammaun, T., Azzahra, F., Ayob, A., Amlus, M. H., Zakirullah, and Aqsha, M. S. “Risk management planning by risk register in building construction project.” IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1303 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1303/1/012034.

Ismail, S., Abdullah, M. R., & Ahmad, Z. "Managing financial risks in infrastructure projects: Insights from toll road projects under public-private partnerships (PPP)." International Journal of Project Management 39, no. 7, pp. 1021-1033 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijproman.2021.04.008.

Creswell, J. W., & Plano Clark, V. L. Designing and Conducting Mixed Methods Research (3rd ed.). SAGE Publications (2018).

Arafat, S. Y. "A comprehensive review of project risk management in construction projects." International Journal of Construction Management 21, no. 1, pp. 32-44 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1080/15623599.2021.1873437.

Additional Files

Published

2026-02-18

Issue

Section

Original Research Articles

Categories